Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 20.305082 22.987939 25.913325 29.343336 33.259160 37.595240 42.767622
2025-02-09 16.221330 19.720395 23.831585 29.031427 35.451607 43.142842 53.091571
2025-02-16 12.939303 16.742841 21.515000 27.970589 36.519862 47.514916 62.825983
2025-02-23 10.583286 14.488604 19.689173 27.170519 37.739121 52.256803 73.919677
2025-03-02 8.843500 12.745691 18.233199 26.587853 39.119224 57.426466 86.582716
2025-03-09 7.586818 11.464927 17.200316 26.405446 41.009609 63.620038 101.928509
2025-03-16 6.569651 10.369700 16.256839 26.179671 42.769334 69.892830 118.619453
2025-03-23 5.958317 9.802056 16.026373 27.021711 46.356846 79.685169 143.083243
2025-03-30 5.297273 9.049480 15.376409 27.045744 48.546461 87.473302 165.591314
2025-04-06 4.631120 8.187884 14.410902 26.352132 49.321391 92.843988 184.655464
2025-04-13 4.105207 7.496116 13.638999 25.876587 50.399176 98.930838 206.341581
2025-04-20 3.816087 7.194393 13.529417 26.630207 53.980648 110.530209 241.914805
2025-04-27 3.590932 6.993244 13.601589 27.800127 58.717411 125.597198 289.025406
2025-05-04 3.298817 6.620465 13.286263 28.128219 61.747482 137.633587 332.149192
2025-05-11 2.955217 6.096302 12.591313 27.535770 62.645203 145.089511 366.064120
2025-05-18 2.665632 5.645921 11.988325 27.051442 63.712793 153.175183 403.662510
2025-05-25 2.421381 5.260369 11.471921 26.683447 64.998670 162.067864 445.738569
2025-06-01 2.230465 4.967388 11.120623 26.650739 67.117084 173.518112 498.012815
2025-06-08 2.054754 4.685772 10.756674 26.529033 68.990578 184.723824 552.624811
2025-06-15 1.962319 4.586210 10.806316 27.461307 73.856793 205.177110 641.309188
2025-06-22 1.828678 4.370292 10.545258 27.541506 76.393716 219.556846 714.675431
2025-06-29 1.669021 4.070222 10.035706 26.872956 76.673333 227.341849 768.238421
2025-07-06 1.536698 3.822258 9.625739 26.414303 77.489066 236.953677 831.023200